Monday, October 18, 2010

Angle's Lead Grows Over Reid

 Republican Sharron Angle has opened a larger lead in the Nevada Senate race, according to the most recent Rasmussen poll. According to this, Angle's lead is almost larger than the margin of error, dramatically increasing the chances that she will beat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on November 2nd. This is the first Rasmussen poll taken since last week's debate and appears to be showing momentum for Angle.

Reid again appears to be having difficulty building traction among Nevada voter and is not well liked by independents. Furthermore, Angle actually crosses the 50% mark, a near death-knell for Reid. Reid won by a bare smidgen in the 1998 race, almost losing in a good Democratic year.

Angle (R): 50%

Reid  * (D): 47%
Other/und: 3%
* Denotes incumbent.

This poll was conducted by Rasmussen, the most accurate of the national pollsters. With the number of undecided voters falling the chances of Reid catching up is growing smaller by the day. Furthermore, undecided voters this late in a race tend to break away from the incumbent. Reid has to pretty much win ALL of these voters to stay competitive.

Angle has been out-fundraising Reid, as well, which is further hurting his campaign. He used a lot of negative ads early, which sunk Angle a bit but did not add to his numbers. With all of those chambers exhausted the only thing he has left is to run on his own record.

So it looks like the debate had an affect on the race. Let's see how it plays out in the week ahead. If Angle is able to build upon this momentum, it's bye bye Harry.

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