Some are calling this a possible turnaround for Mitch Daniels, but I couldn't disagree more for three reasons: - Oregon's Republican faithful will be one of the last to vote in next year's nomination race, so their votes will have little significance in a fight that will probably be decided months before they mail-in their ballots.
- The Dorchester Conference is held annually for Republican faithful, but only 300 showed up - meaning that if everyone participated in the straw poll - 90 people in total voted for Governor Mitch Daniels. Not exactly a triumphant result.
- Mitch Daniels has a slightly better chance of winning the nomination than Ron Paul, which would lead Donald Trump to quip: "realistically, he's got no chance of winning" to a hostile crowd of supporters in Seaside, Oregon.
Any thoughts?
* Rudy Guiliani won the 2007 Dorchester Conference Presidential straw poll.
I think the "Republican faithful", aka old-school Republican guard in Oregon are woefully out of touch with the majority of registered Republicans in Oregon. All across the Country, I see strong support of Tea Party darlings, Herman Cain, Allen West, Marco Rubio, Michele Bachmann and more. The last thing the Tea Party Patriots want is a career politician, old-school Republican. They are looking for a strong, Reagan-style, candidate to support. I think Herman Cain has a much better chance than Mitch Daniels in 2012.
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