The all-important Ames straw poll will be held this afternoon in beautiful Iowa, where the candidacy of Tim Pawlenty is potentially on the line if he doesn't place first, or second among Republican faithful.
So what do I think is going to happen?
1. At least 15,000 Iowans will participate in the event - most of which will be organic.
2. Michele Bachmann will not perform as well as most political wizkids expect her to. Her campaign hasn't gained any ground in weeks and Thursday's debate performance did not help her.
3. Mitt Romney could very well come out of nowhere to finish in the top three, but my thoughts on this might be more reflexive to the belief that Mitt secretly purchased 2,500 tickets and his people will flood the event today.
4. Pawlenty - 1; Paul -2; Bachmann - 3 and Romney - 4.
What say you?
Ron Paul obligatory lead, Bachmann the real winner.
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