Republicans Have Largest Midterm Advantage Since 1994

Recent polling shows that the Democrats may have a lot to worry about. According to the most recent polling, the GOP's advantage may now be even greater than 2010 and may be approaching 1994 levels. According to recent USA Today/Gallup polling, the GOP holds a 4% lead that may grow.

By more than 2-1, 65%-30%, Americans say they want the president elected in 2016 to pursue different policies and programs than the Obama administration, rather than similar ones.

In the 2014 elections, registered voters are inclined to support the Republican candidate over the Democrat in their congressional district by 47%-43%. That 4-percentage-point edge may seem small, but it's notable because Democrats traditionally fare better among registered voters than they do among those who actually cast ballots, especially in low-turnout midterms.